Written By: Scott Hetsko
Don't let the headline depress you, just don't expect this storm to be some sort of mega system that delivers over a foot of snow in the area. It's a quick mover but will have some decent moisture to work with as the Gulf of Mexico is now more available for these storms being born in the South. Most reliable data suggests a track somewhere near Pittsburgh by early Wednesday morning then moving across Pennsylvania through the day.
The NAM is the outsider taking this storm further North into the Southern Tier. A track such as this would definitely bring in enough warm air for some mixing of sleet at times especially South of I-90. Those who follow my blogs know that I lean a little conservative because that generally is how most storms play out. At this point, 6-10" looks most likely but if we get some mixing then those numbers would play out more on the 3-7" side.
I'll will put out our first official forecast numbers probably tomorrow night. Another more impressive storm will move near or along the coast later next weekend. That one may be one to watch for big impacts in the Northeast and Mid Atlantic states.