Written By: Scott Hetsko
TUESDAY 3 P.M. UPDATE:
That's it, I'm drinking the kool aide on this one! A consensus now appears in the data that places Western New York in the most favorable spot for the heaviest snow fall overnight and during the day on Wednesday. The main reason I upped the numbers a few inches is watching the parent low and it's track over Central Pennsylvania tomorrow. That storm appears to keep it's strength through much of the early afternoon. This is important because if that storm weakens quicker than forecast, the vertical velocity I'm counting on goes away and we get about 2-4" LESS than my forecast.
Whatever happens with the totals, the most snow will fall before 1 p.m. Snow will slowly taper off during the afternoon and evening hours. Don't think Lake enhancement will be a major player, maybe 1-3" at the tail end.