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Thursday, February 20

WINDY, WET & MILD TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY...

Written by John DiPasquale:

A soaking rain will be developing later this afternoon, that may begin as a snow/wintry mix briefly in spots, and continue at times through the night & into Friday morning.  There could be a few embedded t-storms tonight & tomorrow morning too, as the warm front should sneak through late tonight/early Friday and set us up for a nice mild beginning to Friday.  Temperatures should climb well up into the 40s to maybe 50, especially south Friday morning.  A strong cold front will blow through later Friday morning/midday, & behind it we will feel the air cool back into the 30s by day's end.  Winds will blow pretty good at times too, especially from around Monroe County points west in the lake plain to Lake Erie.  Gusts could reach 45 to 50 mph late tonight into Friday at times, hence we are under a High Wind Watch Rochester area points west to Buffalo & Niagara Falls.  The bigger story I believe, though, will be the flood potential tonight & Friday.  A solid 1.5" to 2.5" of rain could fall from late today through early Friday afternoon, & if that happens with the mild temperatures causing significant snow melt & some ice jams on local streams could really cause a mess in spots, especially flood prone areas.  Flood Watch is in effect for most in WNY tonight through Friday for the potential of flooding.

Again, in the wake of this storm it will cool off later Friday with some sun probably developing during the afternoon & gusty winds.  The weather should be pretty tranquil Friday night into Saturday with a few rain & snow showers possibly developing Saturday, but no biggie.  Highs Saturday should be in the low 40s with a brisk breeze.  Then Sunday the cold air starts to migrate in with highs in the low 30s & a little snow possible thanks to a little trough & cold front.  Behind the front, the air will turn much colder with a brisk wind & some lake snow possible Monday & maybe Tuesday.  Big time Arctic air still looks like it's going to come down for the latter half of next week into next weekend, which will probably mean some lake snow for some anyways.  Stay tuned.       

102 comments:

  1. High Wind Warning has been issued to go along with 1-2 inches of rain. Strongest gusts appear to be slated for tomorrow afternoon, after the lion's share of the rain has moved through. The warm advection out ahead of this very dynamic storm was significantly underdone on the models, which tells me that they have also underdone the strength of the low, and by extension the wind speeds and QPF numbers. The NWS discussion mentioned 60 mph gusts "possibly" making it to Rochester, but my experience with these kinds of storms tells me that they almost always do. A second period of strong gusts looks to occur late Saturday morning as strong cold advection aloft mixes to the surface.

    I don't know about anyone else here, but I'd take weather like this over dry arctic outbreaks any day of any week, even in February. Maybe not this much rain though lol. Icy rain has begun at my apartment...let the fun begin...

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  2. Wet snow in farmington at the moment

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  3. Wet snow here as well. Interesting way to start the mayhem.

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  4. Sounds like the creek behind my house will be roaring come Friday/ Saturday ...it always takes a little while from when the rain/flooding starts to when the levels rise. It is cool to hear when it is going full tilt. Would not be cool to fall in. It is a raging beast when it wants to be. Garargua creek is its name. Not sure on spelling.

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    1. Ganargua...

      Farmington

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  5. Very little snow next week and beyond. I say bring on spring. This cold is getting annoying especially with very little snow coming. I see video of the Blizzard raging in Minnesota and ponder how long it has been since we have seen a BIG storm.

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    1. You know what's even more annoying than dry cold? Absurd comments like this one. Sorry to be so harsh but I have yet to see you go more than a week without being unnecessarily negative about snow chances. There's something to be said about deep cold in March that's already been said on this blog: it rarely departs without a bang. And when March is especially cold it very often ends up quite snowy as well. Trust me, I crunched the numbers. We just have to get through the weaksauce clipper/lake effect pattern before seeing our window for a good storm. We could even see lighter snowfalls slowly add up before then. Be patient, spring is still a long way off.

      For the record, it's been 7 years since our last truly big storm. We went 8 years before that one, following back-to-back 3 year stretches. 1993, 1996, 1999, 2007.

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    2. What is your criteria for truly big?

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    3. 18+ inches in 36 hours or less. Since the March storms in 1999 were so close together I lumped them into one event, but they both exceeded 18 inches.

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  6. Lightning is encroaching upon the far western reaches of the state:

    http://www.intellicast.com/Storm/Severe/Lightning.aspx

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  7. Models not showing much now in regards to storm potential and strong cold. Not looking good I am afraid Snowdog may be the smart one.

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  8. This is what I consider BIG. The Blizzard of 91, the Ice storm of 93. A storm that produces 18-24" in a 12 hour period. A storm that produces 1+ inches per hour over several hours. I quick hitting storm that is memorable and historical. I do not consider 12" over a 24 hour period BIG. I do not consider 18 inches over 2 days BIG especially when most of it is lake effect or enhancement and NOT from the synoptic storms itself. None of the storms we received this year I consider BIG. They are normal medium sized storms that we are used to and should get several times in a winter. I do not consider nickel and dime lake effect that we get BIG. Lets face it, if we are honest, we all want the historical, memorable storm that we do not get very often around here. 77" for this winter I consider pathetic. We are 2 feet away from normal, and as I have been saying I do not think we will hit that 100" mark officially. We are only 5 inches above normal for the year and by the end of next week we will probably be below normal. There are no storms in sight just light lake effect, not prolific lake effect, for next week. I am sorry but I am very disappointed in this year. It could have been so much BIGGER in regards to snowfall but we missed many BIG storms that hit the East coast and New England. Like CCC said the first part of each month was snowy and then it completely died off. Each medium sized storm was about a month a part. We should be getting more storms than that. This is the way I feel about this winter. Last year we ended up with 78" which is where we are now. Last year was a very mild winter. I believe we will not end up much above the 78" we had last year. 90-95 is my prediction. No matter what you say you cannot be happy with this winter except if you like the cold. Cold without snow is useless. It just makes my heating bill higher. There you have it. Most of you will say I am being negative but I am not. These are my feelings about this winter.

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    1. Nice rant bro. Let me lay some perspective down:

      -Rochester averages 4-5 storms of 6+ inches per season (closer to 4). We've gotten 4 so far, so we certainly aren't getting fewer storms than usual.
      -5 inches above normal to date is not "pathetic." That implies that receiving 100 inches annually is also pathetic, which is just wrong on so many levels.
      -Cold does not always equal snowy. There is such a thing as "too cold to snow," where the strength of cold pushes the jet stream too far south. 76-77 was even colder than this winter and featured average snowfall. Conversely, 98-99 averaged warmer than normal yet finished with well above normal snowfall.
      -You have ridiculously high standards for what constitutes a "big" storm. 2 feet in 12 hours? Please...
      -Or maybe they're just inconsistent standards. 1 inch per hour for several hours...3 is considered to be "several." Therefore, 3 inches in 3 hours could be called a "big storm."
      -6 inches of lake enhanced snow counts just as much as 6 inches of purely synoptic snow. To say otherwise is nothing short of pedantic.
      -No one gets "historical" storms very often. That's why they're given the label "historical."
      -The east coast has gotten just one big storm so far, and the jackpot zone wasn't even along the coast anyway. Some other storms had larger amounts that were strictly isolated, but overall they were not much bigger than our storms have been.
      -The only way you could possibly be disappointed in this season is if you weren't keeping your expectations in check. The only reasonable expectation for an entire season is "average" or "normal." If you were expecting an historic storm this season then you were merely setting yourself up for disappointment. If you were expecting more than one, you're probably beyond help.
      -"No matter what you say you cannot be happy with this winter except if you like the cold," that's just straight up invalidating other peoples' opinions. I hate how cold it's been, yet I'm happy with how this winter has gone owing to the decent number of storms, two of which exceeded 10 inches. Usually we only get one 10+ inch event every 2 years.
      -You ARE being negative. I mean come on, you wrote an entire paragraph about how this typically snowy winter has been "pathetic" and "disappointing." Give it a rest already Simon Cowell.
      -And finally: There are storms floating around on the models in the medium and long range. Certainly not "no storms in sight," just not in plain view (yet).

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    2. We can agree to disagree.

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    3. Or you can learn how to not be such a constant downer. It's kind of annoying to come here and see despondent posts from the same person every 12 hours.

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  9. Still a lot of snow on the ground in Hamlin. It only warmed to near 40 this morning and it has now dropped back to 37. I don't think flooding is going to be an issue here in Hamlin without excessive snow melt. Hopefully next week we will pick up on some LES with the cold.

    Bring on the cold the colder the better. COLD=NO MUD. It can warm up in April. As far as big storms goes WHO KNOWS what will happen as we go into March. Nickel and Dime snow with LES will make me happy.

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  10. Snowdog you are right we are not in a big storm zone. Only the few get big LES in the winter. The chances for any significant snows the rest of the winter are extremely low at best.

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    1. "The chances for any significant snows the rest of the winter are extremely low at best."

      Got any data to support that claim?

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  11. Sorry I do not see the type of cold and winds coming on the models that Scott was talking about in this post.

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  12. Even IF the ROC airport ends up being below 100 inches and that is a BIG IF. It does NOT give an accurate depiction of WNY snowfall this winter. MOST areas in WNY are well above ROC's QUESTIONABLE at best measurements this year. This was a cold and snowy winter in WNY so far and I could care less how SOME on here view it otherwise.

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    1. Cold and snowy for Lake shore communities. Not for the majority.

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    2. Sorry, cold for all. Snowy for some.

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  13. Agree with the cold snowy for some yes but most no. We know HP you were snowy because you made a ton plowing so good for you!

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  14. As of now it appears that the cold will begin to slowly retrograde westward after it drops down late next week. This should gradually bring the storm track closer to our region, with a continuation of the active subtropical jet. Anyone putting the kibosh on snow chances may be in for a rude surprise once we enter March.

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  15. Do not sleep on next Weds/Thursday timeframe per 12z GFS. CCCC do you agree with that and what is the cold potential looking like still what Scott said I his post? He seemed pretty strong about severe cold temps well below zero and winds?

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    1. Definitely don't sleep on the midweek system, the trend is our friend with that one. Bernie Rayno believes it will be a decent storm for the East, so there's that as well. The cold still looks pretty nasty, but not severely so.

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    2. Any thought on what the wind chill factors might be; any possiblity to break some records? Just thinking of the folks who pipes began to freeze, etc.; and whether folks should begun to prepare and take some steps of prevention.

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    3. There aren't any official wind chill records that I know of. Right now it looks like advisory level wind chills are a decent likelihood.

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  16. I don't find Snowdog and others like him annoying. It's more an amusement. Here they are hoping beyond hope for the BIG ONE to appear at our doorstep. Each day seems to bring more hair pulling and knashing of teeth. It's almost an heroic effort. Then, reality kicks in, in their minds, and we see the white flag of surrender.Winter is done for another year. But ... there's always next year.

    So, Quad C, too soon for you to peer into your crystal ball for snow amounts/placement for next mid-week? Lake shore communities? 104-corridor? Metro?

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    1. Definitely too soon. I'm going to assume for now that the usual suspects will be favored again.

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    2. CCCC any updates on latest GFS ton?

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    3. Nothing showing on latest 0z GFS.

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  17. If anyone reads this in time I think channel 13 is about t run a story about Charles w. And his late wife.

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  18. I saw it. So sad. I hope Facebook comes through for him and his daughter who looks exactly like him BTW.

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    1. Michele in PenfieldFebruary 21, 2014 at 7:33 PM

      I also hope there is a happy ending to this story. His beautiful daughter and he deserve to see those last videos.

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  19. I don't understand how they can't just unlock it for him. I know there are some crazy privacy laws now a days but come on.

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  20. Thank you for your words of encouragement.

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  21. Charles peace be with you and hope you get to see those videos. Also hope you can find time to get back to this blog in the future. I always enjoyed your insight. God Bless you and your little girl.

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  22. Praying for you Charles. So sorry for your loss. God Bless you.

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  23. Charles I'm so sorry for your loss. I've been following your story since you told us about it. Please know that we are all thinking of you and your daughter and hope that you win your battle with Facebook. Your daughter is beautiful. She looks just like you :) God Bless.

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  24. Snowdog you hit right on the nose no storms of consequence on the models for at least the next 7 days. Your under 100 inches for the city of Rochester is going to be correct. Nice call!

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  25. Where is CCCC been?

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    1. Sorry that is has CCCC been. Looks like latest GFS still nothing for us in regards to a potential snow storm. Anything that may develop will be far east of us.

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  26. Think Scott jumped the gun about that strong arctic invasion. Not seeing a severe cold outbreak late next week. Just basic cold that we have had this winter. Heck it was -4 last week one morning and no said anything. Thought this would be strong cold with high winds not the case. At least I do not see it.

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  27. Everyone states that I am being negative because I give my opinion as I see how the rest of the winter will play out. February ends next week. There are no storms in site for at least the next 7 days. There may be something brewing for early next week but even that is a long shot. I hope I am wrong about less than 100" for the year but things are not looking good. If we do not get something within the first week or 2 of March I believe that might be it. I believe this cold spell coming up next week will be the last party for that caliber cold. It seems that if your opinion goes against everyone's else's you are being negative. I respect all opinions on this Blog and will not say anything negative against them. If I disagree I will say that like I have.

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    1. You've been given several lines of evidence and a few doses of logic supporting a seasonal total over 100 inches. Yet you persist in having different ideas. This is why people keep calling you negative. Is it just a strong gut feeling you have or something? I don't get it. And what exactly makes any storm scenario more than a week away "a long shot?" Is it the pattern? Teleconnections? Something in the ensemble means? I could see trough placement being an issue, but that doesn't seem like enough to call it "a long shot" since we have plenty of time for that to change. More like "not currently favored" IMO. If you see something favoring a more assertive argument, tell us what it is.

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  28. Now that the resultant haze of last night's Great Space Adventure is finally over I can post some observations:

    -Next week could see us slowly add to the flake total with occasional lake effect and the possibility of a sneaky moderate snowfall towards the middle of the week. I think the GFS is being too progressive as it usually is with split stream situations, and will eventually reflect a Euro-ish solution with a decent system closer to the coast.
    -March still looks like a cold month overall based on the Pacific pattern. This does not look to be confined to the first week, and snow chances could easily persist up to (or possibly past) this date next month.
    -The likely return of southeast ridging by some point during Week 2 of March means that whatever trough is in place will have to retrograde westward at some point. So no matter how you slice it we appear likely to have at least one window for storminess at some point in March.
    -The upcoming cold should be nothing we haven't dealt with already. I'm not seeing anything in the way of single digit highs for most of us, but subzero lows and bitter wind chills are still a concern.
    -Best wishes to Charles and his remaining family. Tough situation to be in :(

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  29. Models are really eerily quiet with nothing really showing. I thought it was going to active next week and beyond?

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    1. It'll certainly be an active lake effect/clipper period. I wouldn't say the models are "eerily quiet," especially the 00z GFS which depicts multiple storm threats for much of the Northeast.

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  30. There will be a Blizzzard in the Flower City with-in the next 10 days. Mark it down!

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    1. Now you are down to days vs. weeks.

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  31. My opinion at this point is that most of the lake effect will be East of Rochester into Wayne county due to a WNW wind. That does not favor Rochester. Also the storms that I see are too far East at this point. It looks pretty quiet for Rochester with only a little light snow at times this week.

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  32. Northeastern Wayne could get hit hard this week:

    LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT
    THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING...

    * LOCATIONS...NORTHERN PORTIONS OF WAYNE AND CAYUGA COUNTIES.

    * TIMING...LATE TONIGHT THROUGH LATE TUESDAY MORNING.

    * ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW POTENTIALLY ACCUMULATING 9 TO 17 INCHES
    IN THE MOST PERSISTENT LAKE SNOWS.

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  33. Same old garbage with LES for some while most get nothing. Snowdog you are right about the snow this winter. Also not one peep about severe cold Scott pointed out the other day with his post. He jumped the gun on that.

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  34. No one is talking about single digit highs and WELL below zero lows at night? Not sure how that was posted earlier?

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  35. 12z GFS weak and nothing of importance again for next week. Snowdog you are looking like more and more of a genius every run. That is unless you live in the selected LES belts.

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  36. I still see that the Monday morning QB's are still posting. Same old posts, blah, blah, blah, wow is me no snow for ROC. I am getting ready for what looks like could be a snowy week up on the lakeshore in Hamlin. Latest 12Z NAM high resolution model shows a descent LES band dropping south along the south shore of Lake Ontario tonight and tomorrow morning. It also looks like there will be plenty of opportunities next week for LES. I think Monroe and Orleans will be added to the advisories at some point once the LES sets up tonight. WE WILL SEE?

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  37. Again HP we are happy you are getting snow so you can plow and make cash. But again the majority does not get the LES and that is what we are saying. There are no BIG snow threats on the models for the next 7 days at least. Snowdog is right climatology will tell you we have about 15 to 20 days left for any REAL chance for a BIG storm. By big I am just say like 10-14 inches falling that is all for the entire Western NY area not just those areas by the lake.

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  38. Also pretty clear that arctic cold= no storms.

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  39. 12z EURO right in line with all other models. Nothing happening for at least 7 days if not longer. Snowdog it is officially not complaining now but rather it is called accurate. CCCC is a quiet as a church mouse but that is what happens when reality sets in. Every time it is discussed that the pattern will bring about storminess it never materializes. Same old same old bring on the spring.

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    1. "CCCC is a quiet as a church mouse but that is what happens when *a vicious hangover* sets in."

      Fixed that for you.

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  40. S.N. from tv 10 just posted on fb that we need to keep an eye on a potential sizable snow event next weekend. Has anyone else seen this?

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  41. That is JN and he is way lost on that not sure what he is looking at? Maybe CCCC can weigh in or is that not going there.

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  42. Sorry, I meant J.N. Boy, this getting old is for the birds. It's either that or I have very few live brain cells from living through the 1960's, which was an awesome time for snowstorms.

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  43. You notice JN has not tweeted a thing today. Plus it is interesting that Scott 4 days ago posted that arctic plunge and said single digits highs and WELL below zero lows. Now have not heard a word from him and have not seen anyone in their future casts posts below zero lows or single digit highs. Yet the 12z Euro did show us in -26/-28 range that does equate to -13 F?

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  44. The NWS 8-10 day forecast states it will be drier than normal and colder than normal. They also state just a few snow showers this week and then dry right through next weekend with no storms in sight.

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  45. Accurate Dog unless you are along the great 104 corridor. There is nothing there as a possible threat for us and the good news is the cold will not be that bad.

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  46. KW:

    "Frigid air will rule much of the week priming the atmosphere for a stormier go for the first 10 days of March. Cue the lion."

    I can see there being some kind of storm potential for next weekend, and more chances beyond that point. The cold should relax during early March before possibly being reinforced beyond that point. All three major ensemble means indicate that the eastern trough will deepen again around March 10th or so. No major warmups in sight however, with the overwhelming majority of the next 14 days remaining colder than normal. The time for spring chickens will not be any time soon.

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  47. CCCC you sound less excited about possible storms happening than you did 5 days ago? Think the Snowdog is on top of his game right now. In the Rochester metro we will not make 100 inches sorry Andy.

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    1. My already low excitement level has not dwindled one bit. I don't get excited about storms until they literally appear on radar. And I still see no reasonable argument against us hitting the 100 inch mark for the season. Of course we could always get unlucky even in a favorable pattern.

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  48. Did not see 6 news was Scott doing weather? If yes did he say anything about the arctic blast and non -storms?

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  49. News 10 really modified their temperatures to above at least 5 for lows and teens for highs everyday next week including next weekend. That is good no where near the earlier in the year PVs that came. Was nervous because Scott made it sound like brutal cold in his post last week. I will take it warmer.

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  50. For those who say winter is over clearly don't realize that March is the number one month for large snowfalls resulting from synoptic storms. We're going to have plenty of opportunities as the pattern will become more favorable. Example: last time the arctic air began to retreat and the southern jet pushed northward, we got a solid foot+ of snow...

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  51. Sorry Weatherguy we here this all the time. The pattern will change and become more favorable for storm track and development. Then it becomes the next week and no pattern change. Then we here it get pushed back again and nothing until it gets pushed back until it is too late. Climatology tells beyond March 20th the likelihood of foot plus snowfalls drops a lot. Just not going to buy it. How many good (foot plus) synoptic storms have we had the entire winter? Not many! Our snow always has been for the few LES areas and always will be.

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    1. We had over a foot earlier this month, which probably would've been the second officially had the airport not grossly mishandled the one in January. As for the whole pattern change thing: I have yet to see any advertised pattern changes get "pushed back" at all this season, so I have no idea where that sentiment is coming from. I do know that the predictions for an active early February were smack dab on the money. There were no fewer than 5 significant storms in the East during that period. And why on Earth is March 20th relevant at all? That's nearly a month away, and it has become abundantly clear that we have plenty of winter to get through until then.

      I won't even dignify that last sentence of yours with a serious reply, but I think this will suffice:
      http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ou0sffcyvlo

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  52. Good evening everybody! There is some less chilling news for this week's Arctic shot. It did look A LOT more impressive when I posted last week. I still expect a very cold period from Wednesday through Friday and possibly again early next week.

    There will be localized lake snow North but no area wide big snows the next 7 days or so. See you later tonight!

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  53. Thanks Scott! There you have it. As the Dog and I been saying no big storms for at least 7 days and probably more. That means time for snow is shrinking so under 100 inches looking good Dog.

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    1. We've got 2-3 solid weeks of snow chances remaining after this week, probably closer to 3 the way things are looking in the ensembles and long range models. Don't count your chickens before the hen's been impregnated. Besides it's not like the airport can't slowly bump the snowfall numbers up during this kind of pattern. There will be numerous small shortwave disturbances yielding area-wide light snowfalls, and there's still a chance that the midweek system becomes something a bit more substantial. Then there's the following week, which has already been discussed here at length.

      But I suppose you and Snowdog can continue to ignore facts and logic if you really want to. There's always a miniscule chance that the blind fool finds the hay in the needlestack after all...

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    2. I prefer to go with Rochester's most accurate. Please read his above post. Thank-you

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    3. I did read Scott's post. I also read the NWS discussion, and they mentioned the shortwaves I brought up. I feel as though Scott will elaborate more in his full forecast.

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  54. Wow the Arctic Air is modified Scott does not have one day below zero when he was talking record cold last week. Scott will winds be with this cold to create low wind chills?

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  55. I find humor in watching people fight for every last inch.

    As for Scott's prediction. It was days out. Good for him with the update. Can't hammer Scott for being 10 degrees or so off that far out. It's still going to be quite cold.

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    1. All indications at the time pointed towards much sharper cold than what is currently being depicted. Definitely can't fault someone for going with the evidence, that's how science is supposed to work after all. I wish more people understood this, then maybe we wouldn't see such misguided lambasting of our wonderful meteorologists from laypeople when a forecast goes wrong...

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    2. No one is lambasting Scott. Plus CCCC am I wrong with -28C temps on 12z EURO today thought that would mean below zero temps here? What did surprise me was Scott posting that 4 days ago for 9 days out. He never does that with a potential storm just shocked when he posted that about potential severe cold. Not sure why he went out on a limb maybe it was that direct southern drop from north pole that amazed him and he got excited.

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    3. When I mentioned the lambasting I was referring to what usually happens when a storm forecast goes wrong. Many people get all up in arms about how "the weather guy can't ever get it right" even though they at least get very close 97 percent of the time. Oh well.

      Scott never goes out on a limb with storm potentials because those are a lot trickier than large scale patterns. The general pattern can be reliably predicted more than a week out thanks to ensembles, but storm systems have no such benefit until the medium range (4-6 days). Speaking of ensembles, the Euro ensemble mean is much less aggressive with the cold than its operational counterpart, as are the other ensemble means and operational models. So the 12z Euro is a cold outlier.

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    4. OK got it CCCC but I think the cold is going to over achieve and surprise people. Anything interesting on Oz GFS?

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    5. So far it's through Day 6, and it depicts basically what's been said here already. Light snowfalls adding up over time.

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    6. Figured nothing happening maybe that will change week of March 3rd.

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    7. It's not quite "nothing" but it's definitely not too compelling. It looks like a decent system is trying to work its way northeastward out of the western Gulf states by March 3rd.

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  56. Scott what I do not get is the EURO today had -28 C temps for our area would that not be at least -5 to -10F this time of year? When I saw that I did think you were right.

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  57. As for "fighting for every last inch," I will gladly fight tooth-and-nail for any inch that gets us closer to 100 :P

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  58. Not unreasonable to think we'll be up around 85 inches for the season by the end of the week.

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    1. Rochester's most accurate disagrees does not see much for city and our official numbers at airport. No talk about several shortwave disturbances this week on his forecast. Snowdog and I looking good for under 100.

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    2. 6 or 7 inches over the course of a whole week isn't much any way you slice it.

      Just keep digging through that needlestack, that hay has got to be in there somewhere...

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  59. Don't look now, but there's a nice band of snow coming down towards Rochester from out of nowhere.

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  60. There is a petition here please sign to change the way facebook is treating me and others in the same situation.

    https://www.change.org/petitions/facebook-allow-next-of-kin-access-to-a-deceased-family-member-s-facebook-account

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  61. Come on guys, this blog is turning into a bashing other people game. Lets respect everyone's opinion.

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  62. No updates from last nights EURO and the 12z GFS that just ran? Thinking must be nothing to talk about potential wise.

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  63. The GFS has shown a storm pretty consistently (the last 3 runs or so) for early next week:

    http://www.instantweathermaps.com/GFS-php/showmap-conussfc.php?run=2014022412&time=INSTANT&var=PRMSL&hour=183

    not particularly strong but plenty of golf moisture. It's tracking it into Ohio river valley before an energy transfer to a coastal low. Could be something to watch.

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  64. Yes GFS did show something to keep an eye on or the next Monday period. I believe it is the Monday timeframe. Interested if the EURO run today shows anything.

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